Description

This analysis provides a forecast of LRC prices using a Seasonal ARIMA model with Box-Cox transformation. The forecast includes different scenarios:

The confidence levels used are 68%, 95%, and 99.7%, which means there is a corresponding probability that the actual price will fall within the Bear and Bull case range for each confidence level.

The purpose of this model is to help investors understand potential future price movements and make informed decisions based on different market scenarios.

Bear_0.997 Bear_0.95 Bear_0.68 Base Bull_0.68 Bull_0.95 Bull_0.997
2025-10-26 0.044111 0.051369 0.059439 0.069073 0.080266 0.092861 0.108116
2025-11-02 0.033595 0.043302 0.055216 0.070914 0.091062 0.116072 0.149512
2025-11-09 0.025761 0.035919 0.049379 0.068517 0.095052 0.130583 0.181867
2025-11-16 0.021204 0.031543 0.046132 0.068222 0.100855 0.147365 0.218856
2025-11-23 0.017815 0.028024 0.043237 0.067553 0.105499 0.162569 0.255191
2025-11-30 0.015683 0.025929 0.041953 0.068832 0.112873 0.182357 0.300709
2025-12-07 0.013574 0.023483 0.039679 0.068066 0.116690 0.196816 0.339437
2025-12-14 0.011666 0.021046 0.037014 0.066163 0.118182 0.207421 0.372855
2025-12-21 0.010100 0.018949 0.034597 0.064266 0.119282 0.217274 0.405966
2025-12-28 0.009254 0.018012 0.034064 0.065604 0.126234 0.238105 0.461347
2026-01-04 0.008393 0.016917 0.033079 0.065929 0.131269 0.255930 0.513258
2026-01-11 0.007627 0.015894 0.032083 0.066067 0.135896 0.273435 0.566647
2026-01-18 0.007021 0.015126 0.031515 0.067045 0.142459 0.295788 0.633342
2026-01-25 0.006574 0.014627 0.031430 0.069013 0.151337 0.323956 0.716025
2026-02-01 0.005799 0.013312 0.029470 0.066721 0.150840 0.332564 0.757966
2026-02-08 0.005287 0.012507 0.028495 0.066442 0.154687 0.350873 0.823683
2026-02-15 0.004807 0.011708 0.027424 0.065792 0.157585 0.367398 0.887461
2026-02-22 0.004511 0.011299 0.027186 0.067039 0.165029 0.395086 0.981002
2026-03-01 0.004118 0.010599 0.026174 0.066293 0.167599 0.411710 1.050033
2026-03-08 0.003702 0.009786 0.024788 0.064439 0.167191 0.421136 1.102442
2026-03-15 0.003333 0.009041 0.023475 0.062592 0.166551 0.429890 1.154283
2026-03-22 0.003160 0.008792 0.023381 0.063895 0.174237 0.460515 1.267348
2026-03-29 0.002955 0.008425 0.022938 0.064211 0.179344 0.485116 1.367573